Time to Follow the Box Rules

I have not mentioned the Box Theory lately….have not had much in the way of gain to deal with except for Apple and it has been such a nice smooth ride. Well now Priceline is off to the races, so I will start posting a modified version of Box Theory for these nice gainers

I will also stop listing the profits of each buy but rather the total cumulative gain, the number of buys and a “box number”, which will be a modified version of the Box Theory . The number in the box will be the gain above 15% (or multiples of 15%) that is in the “bank”. When the number in the box rises to 15 % the bank will rise and the box starts over at zero. When it drops to -8% the stock will be sold…perhaps -15% will be used for some stocks. I know this may seem meaningless, but it should make sense when some drops occur

I did buy EWH (Hong Kong) and EWY (South Korea) and more AAPL, on the day after it hit the ceiling of 600 and tumbled a little. (I sold the SPY to pay for it). But I am still trying to be very cautious until November.

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield has popped up to 2.3%

IBD (Investor Business Daily) continues: Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market (but not 100% in all systems). Money Flows up this week in 2 out of 3 portfolios….a nice sign.

IBD 50 Top Five: AAPL, ALXN, LULU, GNC, KORS. This week GNC has entered the top 5 at the expense of ULTA, which I would have thought to be the better stock, will keep watching, perhaps ULTR will re-enter. Nice to see AAPL grab the top rung as it should.

What will I do?

Watching DIA, QQQ and a fav QLD…which is smoking hot

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:

(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)

AAPL  (4) buys for +33.10 so (2) in the bank and in the box 3.1

JBL  +3.15

PCLN +15.47 so (1) in the bank and in the box .47

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD (3) buys for -2.13

IBB   (2) buys for 2.72

EEM 1.62 (Watching)

EWZ -.63 (Watching)

EWH 1.73 …nice start

EWY 2.1 …Bravo!

I hope you have a great week.

The Market Just Holds Little Interest

As I was struggling to think of a title for this week’s blog I realized that the general market just currently hold little interest for me.

I have been trying to devote some time to refining my process for evaluation of dividend payers, trying to make those as bullet proof as possible for the long term. There are some great companies that keep shining such as Dover, WW Grainer, IBM, McDonalds, Praxair and currently both Lowes and Home Depot. I still have not refined the final sorting process but I seem to have plenty of ideas to consider. The end result is to end up with more of these companies that along with growing their dividends the stock’s price grows nicely such as the seven just mentioned.

 I did sell the rest of RSU, EPI and EWW last week. I still am suitably concerned by the Copernicus study and it has created a desire to remain very caution until November

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 2.04

IBD (Investor Business Daily) continues: Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market (but not 100% in all systems). Money Flows trending down

IBD 50 Top Five: ALXN, LULU, AAPL, ULTA, KORS. Interesting that the top 5 remained the same, just a little jockeying for position…but very interesting

What will I do?

I will look further at EWH, EWY and EWG but likely won’t be buying anything, and that is still okay.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:

(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)

AAPL  +34.22, +12.99, +53.00

JBL  +.62

PCLN +10.62

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -3.42, +6.66, +.04

SPY  +5.74

IBB   +5.02, -.77

EEM +.92

EWZ -1.07

I hope you have a great week.

Which is better a missed gain or a missed loss?

Last week I sensed a rotation in the market. This week my concerns increased as I once again read Copernicus study of cycles and his actual date predictions which point to a first low in late June followed by a little rise an then a bottom just before the election. Time will tell soon enough, but I will remain cautious until after the election. Which is better a missed gain or a missed loss?

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.99%.

IBD (Investor Business Daily) continues: Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market (but not 100% in all systems). Money Flows show one down, one flat and one up slightly. I still see a divergence.

IBD 50 Top Five: LULU, KORS, AAPL, ALXN, ULTA with  LULU and KORS rooting their way in.…LULU has been number one many times. If I was not being extra cautious I would buy both of these.

PCLN Priceline, with its superb business model made a leap this week on earnings. I have not owned this before, a very interesting stock.

What will I do?

I will sell EPI India and EWW Mexico, both are down in rankings. One at a profit, one at a loss.

I did sell half of my  RSU a leveraged S & P 500 last week, may sell the other half, not sure yet.

I won’t be buying anything, and that is still okay.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:

(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)

AAPL  +34.22%, +11.00, +53.00% this one is still singing

JBL  -.08%

PCLN +10.40 what nice pop after superb earnings reported this week.

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -3.44%, +6.64% down this week….should I buy more???

SPY  +5.54%

IBB   +5.45, -.37%

EEM +2.88%

EPI -3.37% adieu

EWZ + 3.40%

EWW +1.35% adieu

RSU  +.66%, not sure about the rest of you yet

I hope you have a great week.