Sunday, April 28, 2013

Looking Up



The Old Tech Trio of Intel, Microsoft and Cisco quickly became a duo with the selling of MSFT for a earlier than expected 6.5% gain. I will try to keep an eye open for another opportunity in MSFT as the Old Tech Trio made so much sense to me. I also have set tentative goals of 15% gains for INTC and CSCO. This does seem to be obtainable in time. INTC is well on the road; CSCO looks like it will take longer.

As GLD (gold) continues to recover I am reminded this is not really a trade, but rather a little bit of insurance. A couple of unique things about GLD are it seems impossible that it could go to zero and it should rise in times of chaos. I really don’t like insurance but I don’t want to sell it and I don’t want to hide it from sight as I did with AAPL. I want to have it …just in case and I do want to consider it each week, so I have another new category and that will be Insurance.

The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday. With the weaker-than-expected, first-quarter growth, it would seem likely that the Fed will keep the economy (and our markets) pumped up by continuing to purchasing bonds …at a pace of $85 billion a month.

What did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.663, down a little this week.

IBD (Investor Business Daily): Market in Correction …still but surely not for long

Copernicus Systems: Long

Moneys Flows:  All still positive and now 1 out of 3 trending up and all three portfolios rising in price…I will take this as positive.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
RGR -2.65% recovering once again, wish I just had this as a dividend payer, perhaps I should sell it when it shows a little profit.
GILD  +18.63%

ETF’s for a trade are:
IWM  -.30
EFA  +.3.70%, nice to see this
IBB   +9.67%   
EWJ +7.7%

Old Tech Trio:
INTC    +8.00 (with 3.8% yield)
MSFT   Sold
CSCO  -3.22% (with 3.3% yield)

Insurance
GLD  -7.19%

What will I do?

My interest in EWW (Mexico) and ILF has cooled and I am not pursuing Eastman Chemical.

Of current interest now are: XLK, SPY or RSU and perhaps EEM.

I hope you have a great week

Sunday, April 21, 2013

That Was the Week That Was

That was the week that was, it’s over, let it go…I am looking forward to better days ahead.

During the week I was a pretty disgusted with what was happening in the market. As I look at the results this week it is better than I expected.

I am not down horribly in GLD (gold), mainly due to picking up more on Monday when it was so badly beat down and it slowly rose the rest of the week

The Old Tech Trio of Intel, Microsoft and Cisco collectively did not disappoint with 2/3 doing well.

Biotech continues to be stellar.

What did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.70

IBD (Investor Business Daily): Market in Correction

Copernicus Systems: Long .... but not hugely so

Moneys Flows:  All still positive but this week 3/3 are down ….ominous.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
RGR -4.27%
GILD  +22.76%

ETF’s for a trade are:
GLD  -10.72%
IWM  -2.76%
EFA  +.34%
IBB   +9.72%   
EWJ +5.83

Old Tech Trio:
INTC    +3.57 (with 4.0% yield)
MSFT   +3.26 (with 3.1% yield)
CISCO  -4.20% (with 3.3% yield)

What will I do?

I still like what I see in EWW (Mexico) and now ILF and I am watching Eastman Chemical.

However lightening up may be appropriate, but we have a lot more earnings reports this week. Strong earnings and revenue growth from some leaders could set the tone for a resume of the rally

I hope you have a great week

Sunday, April 14, 2013

Anchors Away! Trio Added




For the week, the Dow jumped 2.06 percent, the S&P 500 rallied 2.29 percent, and the Nasdaq soared 2.84 percent…..all of this even with a little stutter on Friday after some negative economic reports.

However the strength of the market was seen with all key S&P sectors up for the week, led by consumer discretionary spending and health care.

We still have the sabre rattling in North Korea, but it seems to be pretty much ignored by the markets…and I hope the market’s vision proves to be correct and the issue soon fades entirely.

This week instead of adding Yahoo as planned, I took initial positions in what I am calling the Old Tech Trio. 

This is consists of the great: Intel, Microsoft and Cisco. The Trio has been left behind in recent markets gains…deservedly so? I think not. These former darlings may have lost their sizzle but they are now just great profitable companies that are just making money and churning out nice dividends. 

With many foreign investors looking for safety in US markets, in particular in profitable dividend paying companies, what could be better than the Old Tech Trio? Will these companies reinvent themselves as IBM has done and Dell hopes to do…perhaps, but even if they do not they should still have many profitable years ahead. I can’t say that I have a definite plan for the Trio, but I hope to remember I should be patient and give them a little time and be satisfied with the dividend while I wait.

What did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.72

IBD (Investor Business Daily): Has quickly returned to Confirmed Uptrend

Copernicus Systems: Long and it was nice to see MSFT, INTC and CSCO rising in the rankings, even though they are now at the low end of the scale.

Moneys Flows:  All positive, 2/3 still trending down, but this is an improvement over last week

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
RGR -.43% now recovering
GILD  +19.90% so good to see this…and still very strong.
JCOM  sold

ETF’s for a trade are:
GLD  -5.09%
EWA  sold
IWM  -.49%
EFA  +2.56%
IBB   +7.18%   I like this Biotech ETF
EWJ +6.02%, rising due to Japan pumping money into their economy, deflating their currency ….result is expected to increase their exports. (Where did they learn this?)

Old Tech Trio:
INTC    +.04 % (with 4.2% yield)
MSFT   -.13% (with 3.2% yield)
CISCO  +.86% (with 3.2% yield)

What will I do?

I like what I see in EWW (Mexico), but I would also like to  add to existing position, not sure which ones yet or when, perhaps if we get a drop

I hope you have a wonderful week.

Sunday, April 7, 2013

Remarkably Resilient


Once again the market continues to demonstrate great resiliency. This week is could have been much more chaotic. It was down for the week, but we saw a nice rise on Friday after the opening drop. All of this with North Korea threatening war and a bad jobs report….. I was really glad to see the steady move upward on Friday.

My timing could have been better, but I did add to initial position in CHD and MCD for long term holdings and also picked up more IBB and IWM for a trade.

What did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.69

IBD (Investor Business Daily): Dropped to: Uptrend Under Pressure

Copernicus Systems: Long, but it was close …IMHO

Moneys Flows:  All positive, but all still trending down

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
RGR -2.77% now at a loss, but perhaps the slide has stopped, one comfort is the 3.3% yield if I do  hold this for a while.
GILD  +9.37% down a little, will continue to hold as biotech’s appear very strong.
JCOM  +2.43% still positive but down too much

ETF’s for a trade are:
GLD  -5.09%
EWA  -1.26%
IWM  -1.87%
EFA  -.22%
IBB   +1.32%
EWJ +2.29%, had a drop and then recovered nicely 

What will I do?

With the signals seen I should at least do some trimming; will likely sell EWA (Australia), hate taking a loss now as it could find its footing, but it’s probably best. Will also look to sell JCOM  at a modest profit, togethter these should net a little gain.

I would like to pick up YHOO after selling JCOM but will wait to see the events of the first part of next week

I hope you have a great week