Sunday, January 29, 2012

Market continues to look okay, but I am still very cautious


I am still pleased to have re-entered the market, but still very cautious. The rising bond rates cited last week have now fallen. Since I said that was bad sign last week…guess I should say it is a good sign this week, but in reality this means it is not a good indicator for the short term.

Once again I did see a number of interesting stocks, but once again I added extra filters of caution and was left with GILD. I have already bought it twice, but will buy more.

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield has declined as noted to 1.89%.

IBD (Investor Business Daily) is continues Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market.
Money flows continue nicely upward as are the supporting stock prices. 

What will I do?

Last week I did add XOM, more GILD and initial positions in XLF, XLY and XLI, so that is enough for now, no additions this week other than another buy of GILD

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
AAPL  +10.92%, +25.52%
GILD  +3.35%, +8.27%
MON   -.50%

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -1.92%, +8.32%
XLV  +.31%
SPY  +1.32%
IBB   +2.15%
XLF  -.21%
XLY  +.68%
XLI   +.72%

I hope you have a great week.

Sunday, January 22, 2012

Adding more….but cautiously so


I was pleased to have re-entered the market last week. But even though gains were seen, there are reasons to be cautious. I have not studied the volume, but reported it is still low. I have been tracking the bond rates and it is showing a warning signal of rising rates.

I did see a number of stocks, a large number, that looked interesting, but I added some extra filters of caution and was left with XOM.

Likewise I saw a number of ETF, still have only decided on XLF, but XLY and XLI are possibilities. I have been watching XLF for some time.
  

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield has risen steadily since midweek to 2.84 %....as mentioned, a sign to be cautious.

IBD (Investor Business Daily) is continues Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market.
Money flows continue nicely upward as are the supporting stock prices. 

What will I do?

I will buy XOM and add to GILD and still considering other moves.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)

AAPL  +3.38%, +17.95%
GILD  +5.42%
MON   -.1%
 

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -7.55%, +.2.10%
XLV +.39
SPY +1.11
IBB -.62
 

I hope you have a good week

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Time to Re-Enter


I was able to spend some time this week reviewing my dividend payers. I did get my new spreadsheet ready for analysis, studied some 5 year charts and added a list of new considerations. I will have to wait until mid-February to get the data I need on last year’s earnings. Based on some preliminary work done based on the ones I currently own it is easy to see that  MCD and GWW would be the first place for additional investments …superb stocks, take a look.
  
Trading:

I sold the rest of my SDS this week along with all of the REW. But I will be prepared to re-enter these short positions.

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is down at 1.85 %.

IBD (Investor Business Daily) is continues Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market.
Money flows continue nicely upward as are the supporting stock prices. 

What will I do?

I will take a step in with some small positions in SPY, IBB, XLV, GILD and MON.

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
AAPL  +3.36%, +17.81%....nice 

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -7.55%, +.2.10%

I hope you have a good week

Sunday, January 8, 2012

More Waiting

I hope to spend some time this week reviewing my dividend payers. I have thoughts on how to improve my evaluation of these stocks with estimation of the possible yield in 5 years simply using the current yield and the 5 year growth rate. I hope to discuss this here if this appears promising.

Trading:

I have given up watching VZ for a trade for now, may pick this up again later it I find time to watch it better.

I sold half of the my SDS, just too much of a loss of the first postion to continue, but I still hold the second half for now.

I still hold REW  but this has not fared well either, however this leveraged inverse of technology may yet prove fruitful.

So what did I see in my weekend review?

The 10-yr Treasury yield is at 1.97 %.

IBD (Investor Business Daily) is continues Market in Confirmed Up Trend.

Copernicus Systems is still showing to be long in the market.
Money flows are now nicely upward as are the supporting stock prices. 

What will I do?

WAIT…and I do not like to wait!

Currently my "Stocks for a Trade" now consists of:
(All gains or losses shown are the total since purchase)
AAPL  +3.99%, +18.74%....nice 

ETF’s for a trade are:

GLD -8.75, +.78%
SDS -8.18%
REW -5.50%, -8.34%

I hope you have a good week